Friday Juice

I've got Vick's face on the front because I think this is going to be the last weekend we will get to see him this season. He'll be only 25 years old by the time the Falcons kick off summer camp later this year. 25....

  • Falcons -5 at Eagles - I published notes on this game Thursday, but I'd also like to add something from Bill Simmons that I usually do in my head before I make a pick:
    Here's a good rule of thumb for Championship Sunday: Pretend you wagered on each team, then pick the worst-case scenario for each side. For instance, a worst-case scenario for that Rams-Falcons game last week would have been Vick scrambling around early, followed by Dunn breaking a long run, then the Falcons making their obligatory special teams play, then Bulger getting hurt, then Mike Martz staring out onto the field like an American tourist trying to read a train station schedule in Chinese. And that's pretty much what happened.

    For the Falcons this Sunday, here's the worst-case scenario: The Eagles shut down their running game, forcing Vick to throw the ball. When none of his receivers can get open (and isn't that the biggest mismatch in this game -- that motley crew of Atlanta receivers against Philly's superb secondary?), he'll try to create something with his scrambling ... only the Eagles have the horses up front to chase him down, much like the way Tampa Bay's D always handles Vick (as Collinsworth pointed out this week on HBO). And the Falcons offense will keep sputtering, and the Eagles will grind out a few drives, and that will be that.

    Here's the worst-case scenario for the Eagles: Even though they're controlling the game, for whatever reason, the Falcons keep hanging around ... and hanging around ... and suddenly it's early in the fourth quarter, and the score is tied ... and that's when the fans start to get nervous (the baggage thing) ... and then Vick breaks a big play to take the lead ... and everyone in Philly is thinking, "Oh my God, please tell me it's not happening again" ... and then McNabb plays the rest of the game with both hands wrapped around his neck. See you next year.
    Consider all the crap he's put out this past week, I'm glad to see that something useful has fallen out of his Shark Jumping word processor. I never thought the Eagles would suffer too much from the loss of TO until the Super Bowl. The Falcons are by far their toughest test in over two months (loss to Pitt on 11/7) but I think the Eagles match up well enough against them to win. The Falcons can be run on and their defense is based around their pass rush. Philly should be able to neutralize that and take advantages down the field. Philadelphia -5

  • Patriots -3 at Steelers - What Coach Belichek meant earlier this week when he said that his team would get killed if his defense plays against the Steelers like they did against the Colts, was how the Pats were just daring the Colts to run up the middle of the field and then take some chances deep. Since Indy didn't do either of those two things, they are home this week and next week and so on. This Sunday, the Pats will try to take away the Pittsburgh run and force Ben Burger to beat them. QBs who can move around the pocket do better against NE, but this one rookie won't be able to do enough to win. One can't stress enough that Corey Dillon did not play when these teams met earlier this season. The Patriots offense is much more versitile than Pittsburgh's. And NE's defense is just as good as the Steelers. Matchup that in the snow of western Pennsylvania, and I'm taking New England -3.
Current 2005 Beach NFL Playoff Record ATS: 7-4. 2004 NFL Regular Season Record ATS: 44-37.
Divisional Weekend Picks - Wildcard Weekend Picks


Past Ten Posts
Hockey News
Thursday Football
Hockey News
Tuesday Football
No Excuses
Friday Juice (For Real)
Sunday Morning Football
Friday Juice
Thursday Juice
Thursday Football

2005 NFL Season
Scouting Combine
Offseason News
Fantasy Football Preview
- Offensive Coordinators

Coin Flip Challenge '05
January - February
March - April - May
June - July - August
Sept - Oct - November

Hockey Picks
05-06 Season
03-04 Season

NFL Weekly Picks
2005 Season

2005 Fantasy Baseball
'27-29' Preview:
AL Spring Notes
NL Spring Notes

NHL Lockout

2005 NFL Playoffs
Super Bowl

College Football Bowls
2004 Season


Yahoo Sports
Sporting News
CBS Sportsline


Sports Economist
Sports Law
Sports Prof
Sports Blah
Sports Frog
TheMirl Writers


Off Wing
James Mirtle
Red Line Sports
Tom Benjamin
Sharks Page
Bolts Mag
Ice Block
Puck Update
On The Wings
The Net Files
Hockey Country
Andrew's Stars Page
so very obsessed
Predators' Den
Sabre Rattling
Habs' Blog
RedBlack Hockey
Kuklas Korner
Covered in Oil
Battle of Alberta
Battle of Ontario
Japers Rink
Puck Stops Here
E.J. Hradek
HF Boards
Hockey Hearsay
Hockey Analysis


Pro Football Weekly
Football Guys
Football Outsiders
Pro Reference Guide
Yahoo News
Len Pasquarelli
Chris Mortensen
John Clayton
NFL Insider
Fanball Matchup Index

Football's Future
Braves and Birds -ATL
SportsJunky -SEA
Rams MVP
Broncos MVP
Bengals MVP
Chiefs MVP
Eagles MVP
Colts MVP
Dolphins MVP
Ravens MVP
Bears MVP
Pats MVP
MistakeSports -CLE
PennLive -PHI
NFL Cheerleader
NFL Pick of the Week


John Walters -SI
Stewart Mandel -SI
The Courtmaster
OSU Beavers
USC Trojans
UC Bearcats
UW Cowboys
UM Wolverines
UF Gators
MSU Spartans


Baseball News- R.I.P.
Baseball Analysts
Baseball Musings
Baseball Prospectus
Baseball America
The Hardball Times

Fanball MLB
Roto Times Notes
Roto World MLB
Pro Sports Daily MLB
BTF- Local Links
Stats Inc Data
MLB Clubhouse Links

Peter Gammons
Ken Rosenthal
Aaron Gleeman
Rob Neyer
Jason Stark
Will Carroll
Eric Karabell
Buster Olney

SB Nation
Athletics Nation
Halos Heaven
Braves Beat
Brew Crew
Batter's Box
Cubbie Blue
DRays' Bay
Snake Pit
McCovey Chronicles
Lets Go Tribe
USS Mariner
Fish Stripes
Amazin Ave
Camden Chat
LoneStar Ball
Red Reporter
Over The Monster
Tiger Blog
Pinstriped Blog
Black Betsy


Mark Cuban
Ben Maller
Field of Schemes
Sports Write & Edit
Unknown Column
Sticks of Fire
Excuse The Interruption
Pardon The Interruption


Dave Sez
College BBall
Sports Rankings






09/12/2004 - 09/19/2004
09/19/2004 - 09/26/2004
09/26/2004 - 10/03/2004
10/03/2004 - 10/10/2004
10/10/2004 - 10/17/2004
10/17/2004 - 10/24/2004
10/24/2004 - 10/31/2004
10/31/2004 - 11/07/2004
11/07/2004 - 11/14/2004
11/14/2004 - 11/21/2004
11/21/2004 - 11/28/2004
11/28/2004 - 12/05/2004
12/05/2004 - 12/12/2004
12/12/2004 - 12/19/2004
12/19/2004 - 12/26/2004
12/26/2004 - 01/02/2005
01/02/2005 - 01/09/2005
01/09/2005 - 01/16/2005
01/16/2005 - 01/23/2005
01/23/2005 - 01/30/2005
01/30/2005 - 02/06/2005
02/06/2005 - 02/13/2005
02/13/2005 - 02/20/2005
02/20/2005 - 02/27/2005
02/27/2005 - 03/06/2005
03/06/2005 - 03/13/2005
03/13/2005 - 03/20/2005
03/20/2005 - 03/27/2005
03/27/2005 - 04/03/2005
04/03/2005 - 04/10/2005
04/10/2005 - 04/17/2005
04/17/2005 - 04/24/2005
04/24/2005 - 05/01/2005
05/01/2005 - 05/08/2005
05/08/2005 - 05/15/2005
05/15/2005 - 05/22/2005
05/22/2005 - 05/29/2005
05/29/2005 - 06/05/2005
06/05/2005 - 06/12/2005
06/12/2005 - 06/19/2005
06/19/2005 - 06/26/2005
06/26/2005 - 07/03/2005
07/03/2005 - 07/10/2005
07/10/2005 - 07/17/2005
07/17/2005 - 07/24/2005
07/24/2005 - 07/31/2005
07/31/2005 - 08/07/2005
08/07/2005 - 08/14/2005
08/14/2005 - 08/21/2005
08/21/2005 - 08/28/2005
08/28/2005 - 09/04/2005
09/04/2005 - 09/11/2005
09/11/2005 - 09/18/2005
09/18/2005 - 09/25/2005
09/25/2005 - 10/02/2005
10/02/2005 - 10/09/2005
10/09/2005 - 10/16/2005
10/16/2005 - 10/23/2005
10/23/2005 - 10/30/2005
10/30/2005 - 11/06/2005
11/06/2005 - 11/13/2005
11/13/2005 - 11/20/2005
01/01/2006 - 01/08/2006
02/19/2006 - 02/26/2006

Powered by Blogger